Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.221270 0.256379 0.295253 0.341493 0.395006 0.455010 0.527428
2025-07-27 0.168751 0.216417 0.274730 0.351342 0.449424 0.570913 0.733056
2025-08-03 0.138302 0.190277 0.258404 0.354294 0.485960 0.660701 0.910797
2025-08-10 0.115413 0.168142 0.241253 0.350110 0.508362 0.730558 1.067263
2025-08-17 0.096469 0.147676 0.222213 0.338726 0.516692 0.779057 1.196802
2025-08-24 0.086616 0.138606 0.217649 0.346714 0.552789 0.870173 1.398476
2025-08-31 0.077168 0.128581 0.209913 0.348109 0.577870 0.946146 1.584547
2025-09-07 0.070040 0.121155 0.205037 0.352918 0.608164 1.032698 1.796823
2025-09-14 0.061900 0.110878 0.194057 0.345830 0.617120 1.084187 1.954944
2025-09-21 0.055687 0.103087 0.186229 0.342942 0.632462 1.147426 2.139877
2025-09-28 0.051257 0.097900 0.182263 0.346259 0.658887 1.232440 2.373254
2025-10-05 0.049266 0.096953 0.185773 0.363607 0.712945 1.373127 2.726551
2025-10-12 0.046593 0.094471 0.186295 0.375644 0.758917 1.504990 3.081399
2025-10-19 0.043990 0.091821 0.186209 0.386513 0.803976 1.640372 3.460439
2025-10-26 0.040845 0.087666 0.182622 0.389763 0.833744 1.748242 3.795350
2025-11-02 0.037281 0.082190 0.175697 0.385157 0.846388 1.822068 4.066441
2025-11-09 0.033410 0.075584 0.165650 0.372629 0.840407 1.855693 4.253366
2025-11-16 0.031737 0.073632 0.165342 0.381421 0.882321 1.997105 4.698176
2025-11-23 0.029643 0.070472 0.162009 0.382956 0.907881 2.104844 5.078012
2025-11-30 0.028015 0.068197 0.160402 0.388248 0.942649 2.237014 5.530780
2025-12-07 0.025647 0.063881 0.153613 0.380448 0.945312 2.294613 5.809587
2025-12-14 0.023798 0.060618 0.148952 0.377269 0.958826 2.379387 6.165731
2025-12-21 0.022515 0.058622 0.147128 0.380920 0.989755 2.509848 6.653437